Whale Tracking: What On-Chain Data Reveals

On-chain prediction markets like Polymarket offer complete transparency. We used this to study whale behavior.

We identified 2,841 wallets with US$10k+ volume. 147 exceeded US$100k (our whale threshold).

Key findings: Whale wallets have a 73% win rate. Cluster behavior is real — 12 clusters of coordinated wallets were identified. Whale entry timing more than 48 hours before resolution has 78% accuracy.